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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Ritholtz's Josh Brown, Wells Fargo’s Chris Harvey and Truist’s Keith LernerRitholtz's Josh Brown, Wells Fargo's Chris Harvey, and Truist's Keith Lerner join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the resilience of the market rally, earnings season, and opportunity play in the market.
Persons: Ritholtz's Josh Brown, Wells, Chris Harvey, Truist’s Keith Lerner, Josh Brown, Truist's Keith Lerner
There have been 13 other market selloffs during the second year of a bull market since 1946, Belski noted. AdvertisementFollowing its 2021 pullback, the S&P 500 finished the second year of its bull market up 22.6% and 11.5% higher than its nadir. Valuations are still historically high, and mega-cap growth companies continue to make up a disproportionately large share of the S&P 500. Since Belski thinks this bull market has legs, he doesn't want to forgo future upside. These firms have higher earnings growth than the median S&P 500 name and also have lower price-to-earnings (P/E) and P/E-to-growth (PEG) ratios — a recipe for success.
Persons: , pales, Keith Lerner, Truist, Lerner, who've, Brian Belski, he's, Belski, selloffs Organizations: Service, Business, BMO Capital Markets, selloffs
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Trivariate's Adam Parker and Truist's Keith LernerAdam Parker, Trivariate Research founder and Keith Lerner, Truist senior market strategist, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, earnings and risks to the market rally.
Persons: Trivariate's Adam Parker, Truist's Keith Lerner Adam Parker, Keith Lerner, Truist Organizations: Trivariate Research
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos and Truist's Keith LernerGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management chief market strategist, and Keith Lerner, Truist, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss their Fed outlook and the market rebound.
Persons: JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos, Truist's Keith Lerner Gabriela Santos, Keith Lerner, Truist Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with NewEdge’s Cameron Dawson, Payne Capital’s Courtney Garcia and Truist's Keith LernerNewEdge’s Cameron Dawson, Payne Capital’s Courtney Garcia and Truist's Keith Lerner, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market momentum, inflation and this weeks economic data.
Persons: NewEdge’s Cameron Dawson, Payne Capital’s Courtney Garcia, Truist's Keith Lerner NewEdge’s Cameron Dawson, Truist's Keith Lerner
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect a market consolidation following the YTD run-up, says Keith LernerKeith Lerner, Co-Chief Investment Officer at Truist Advisory Services, discusses this week's dip in the markets.
Persons: Keith Lerner Keith Lerner Organizations: Advisory Services
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with iCapital's Anastasia Amoroso, Veritas’ Greg Branch and Truist’s Keith LerneriCapital's Anastasia Amoroso, Veritas’ Greg Branch and Truist’s Keith Lerner, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss if bad breadth in the market matters and if the S&P's 493 may finally get a chance to shine.
Persons: iCapital's Anastasia Amoroso, Greg Branch, Truist’s Keith Lerner iCapital's Anastasia Amoroso, Truist’s Keith Lerner Organizations: Veritas
The S & P 500' s latest run to a record high last week took it through an obstacle course of macroeconomic and company-specific hazards. Stocks are not at all cheap, with the S & P 500 at 20-times year-ahead earnings, which probably will mute multi-year returns. The median S & P 500 stock is flat year to date, is up 13% over the past three months, has gained 30% off its 52-week low and is within 8% of its 52-week high. On Friday, even as a majority of stocks fell with the S & P 500 gaining 1%, there were 175 NYSE new 52-week highs compared to 54 new lows. Here are the equal-weighted industrial and consumer-discretionary sectors compared to the equal-weight S & P 5600 since just after the bear-market low in October 2022.
Persons: Stocks, Craig Johnson, Piper Sandler, it's, Steve Deppe, Jobs, Jerome Powell, Friday's, Henry McVey, KKR's, Keith Lerner Organizations: Treasury, Wealth Management, Meta, Microsoft, Truist, Equity Locations: Meta, handicapping
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Wells Fargo's Scott Wren and Truist's Keith LernerScott Wren, Wells Fargo Sr. Global Equity Strategist and Keith Lerner, Truist Wealth Chief Market Strategist, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss earnings and market reaction.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Scott Wren, Truist's Keith Lerner Scott Wren, Wells Fargo, Keith Lerner Organizations: Global Equity, Truist
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're moving into a modest growth, modest inflation environment, says Wells Fargo's Scott WrenScott Wren, Wells Fargo Sr. Global Equity Strategist and Keith Lerner, Truist Wealth Chief Market Strategist, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss earnings and market reaction.
Persons: Wells Fargo's Scott Wren Scott Wren, Wells Fargo, Keith Lerner Organizations: Global Equity, Truist
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUnderlying trend looks positive for stocks following strong Q4, says Truist's Keith LernerKeith Lerner, Truist Wealth, and Cheryl Young, Rockefeller Global Family Office, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss if Lerner is concerned about valuations being stretched, if investors still need to justify current valuations, and more.
Persons: Truist's Keith Lerner Keith Lerner, Cheryl Young, Lerner Organizations: Truist, Rockefeller, Family Office
Lerner noted that such occurrences are correlated with near-term pain as well as sizable forward returns. Another encouraging omen for US stocks is their successful track record in the second year of a bull market, as Belski noted last fall. Furthermore, since the financial crisis, Belski noted that stocks fell in the first month eight times but have ended the year in the green in six of those years. BMO Capital Markets30 investments to make during a rallyIn addition to sharing market commentary, strategists at BMO, Truist, and UBS outlined investment ideas as stocks enter uncharted territory. UBS spotlighted high-quality stocks with healthy balance sheets and sound earnings that drive profitability, especially since economic growth is slowing.
Persons: Solita Marcelli, Keith Lerner, Brian Belski, Lerner, Belski, who've Organizations: Business, BMO, Truist, UBS, BMO Capital Markets, BMO Capital, UBS spotlighted Locations: Swiss, Europe
Thank the "Magnificent Seven" stocks for the S & P 500 's bounce to record levels in 2024 . "It's a bet on secular growth," said Truist's Keith Lerner. "AI stocks … are going bonkers," he said. "People see a secular growth story even with all the different type of cross-currents in the economy, interest rates and markets," he said. "However, strong secular tailwinds from Gen AI could extend the rally well beyond the typical 2-year up-cycles, in our view."
Persons: Truist's Keith Lerner, It's, Adam Sarhan, Lerner, , Ed Yardeni, Raymond James, Srini Pajjuri, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Tesla, Investments, Devices, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Semiconductor, Yardeni, SOX, stoke
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 16, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Are U.S. stocks poised to continue their dramatic run, or is a pause ahead? The index is now up nearly 18% for the year and less than 2% away from its year-high, reached in July. Analysts at Ned Davis Research, which has been recommending an overweight to stocks, this week said investors should further shift into equities and away from bonds. One source of worry has been a renewed climb in stocks' valuations.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, , Yung, Yu Ma, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, ” Robert Pavlik, Pavlik, Seasonality, LSEG Datastream, Jason Pride, Keith Lerner, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, BMO Wealth Management, National Association of Active Investment, Reuters Graphics, Treasury, Ned, Ned Davis Research, , CPI, Dakota Wealth, Nvidia, Advisory Services, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 16, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Are U.S. stocks poised to continue their dramatic run, or is a pause ahead? The index is now up 17% for the year and about 6% from its record closing high from January 2022. Analysts at Ned Davis Research, which has been recommending an overweight to stocks, this week said investors should further shift into equities and away from bonds. One source of worry has been a renewed climb in stocks' valuations.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, , Yung, Yu Ma, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, ” Robert Pavlik, Pavlik, Seasonality, LSEG Datastream, Jason Pride, Keith Lerner, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, BMO Wealth Management, National Association of Active Investment, Reuters Graphics, Treasury, Ned, Ned Davis Research, , CPI, Dakota Wealth, Nvidia, Advisory Services, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket pullback is opportunity to add for investors underweight equities, says Truist's Keith LernerKeith Lerner, Truist Advisory Services Co-CIO, and George Seay, Annandale Capital founder, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Truist's Keith Lerner Keith Lerner, George Seay Organizations: Truist Advisory Services, Annandale Capital Locations: Annandale
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe main driver for the recent bull market is move lower in interest rates, says Keith LernerKeith Lerner, Truist Advisory Services Co-CIO, discusses where he sees stocks and bonds going into year-end.
Persons: Keith Lerner Keith Lerner Organizations: Truist Advisory Services
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Cantor's Eric Johnston, Truist's Keith Lerner and BNY's Alicia LevineEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's head of equity derivatives and cross-asset, Keith Lerner, Truist co-chief investment officer, and Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon head of investment strategy, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the markets, their year-end playbook, and the bull versus the bear case.
Persons: Cantor's Eric Johnston, Truist's Keith Lerner, BNY's Alicia Levine Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's, Keith Lerner, Truist, Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon
Cantor's Eric Johnston on economy: Outlook is deteriorating
  + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCantor's Eric Johnston on economy: Outlook is deterioratingEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's head of equity derivatives and cross-asset, Keith Lerner, Truist co-chief investment officer, and Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon head of investment strategy, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the markets, their year-end playbook, and the bull versus the bear case.
Persons: Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald's, Keith Lerner, Truist, Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon
The S&P 500 is down 7% since the start of September and briefly entered correction territory from its summer high last week. However, strategists say these threats are mostly priced into stocks, but higher earnings aren't. After three straight quarters of contracting profits, both BofA and UBS expect earnings to grow at least 3% year-over-year in Q3. "Within the context of our expectations for a continued choppy backdrop, we are incrementally more positive," Lerner wrote in a late October note. Truist's more constructive view on equities is based on strong results so far in Q3, Lerner wrote.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Savita Subramanian, Marcelli, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, Keith Lerner, Lerner, it's, Truist, Mark Haefele Organizations: Bank of America, UBS, Bank of America's, Equity, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Israel, Oppenheimer Asset Management Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Truist, Real, Charlotte
This year’s climb in Treasury yields is changing that calculus, as government bonds offer income that is viewed as risk-free to investors who hold them to term. The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed about a full percentage point since then. The term premium is the added compensation investors expect for owning longer-term debt and is measured using financial models. Stocks have averaged a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.8 over the last 10 years, while the term premium has averaged -0.3%. That compares with a historical average forward P/E of 15.6 and a term premium of 1.4% since 1985.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, , Quincy Krosby, Elon Musk, John Lynch, Lynch, LSEG, Matthew Miskin, Keith Lerner, ” Lerner, Lewis Krauskopf, Dan Burns, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Soaring U.S, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, . Treasury, BofA Global Research, LPL, Comerica Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics, John Hancock Investment Management, UBS Global Wealth Management, Advisory, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEnergy is a natural hedge in the current market, says Truist's Keith LernerKeith Lerner, Truist Advisory Services Co-Chief Investment Officer and Kevin Merritt, Wedbush Director of Research, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk geopolitical impacts on the current market, where investors should be putting their money and more.
Persons: Truist's Keith Lerner Keith Lerner, Kevin Merritt Organizations: Email Energy, Truist Advisory Services, Research
Soaring interest rates and a slowing economy sent US stocks plummeting to their 52-week lows last October. Twelve months later, the S&P 500 has been smacked once again by lingering concerns about interest rates and a recession. The index just hit an oversold level not seen since last fall, Truist co-investment chief Keith Lerner remarked in a recent note. Instead, investors should stay focused on interest rates, Lerner said. 4 top places to put your money nowTruist is bullish on both growth stocks and stocks in economically sensitive sectors.
Persons: Truist, Keith Lerner, Goldman Sachs, Lerner, offsides, doesn't, Israel aren't, they're Organizations: Truist, Investors, Bank of America, Federal, Energy Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLerner: S&P 500 should dip below its 200-day moving average before presenting buying opportunitiesKeith Lerner, Co-CIO of Truist Advisory Services, discusses his expectations for the trading day ahead.
Persons: Lerner, Keith Lerner Organizations: Advisory Services
Treasury bond indexes are down as much as 2.5% this year, not a huge move and most of it has come since Federal Reserve policymakers published their upwardly revised median policy projections on Sept. 20. For an investor with a typical portfolio weighted 60% stocks and 40% bonds, these losses are more than offset by double-digit equity returns. Their base case is for a 14% return on 10-year Treasuries, rising to 20% in the event of recession. Even in their upside scenario of a more resilient economy, 10-year Treasuries should return around 10% over the coming year, they estimate. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data, meanwhile, showed that asset managers had built up a then record net long position in 10-year Treasuries futures of 1.26 million contracts by mid-January.
Persons: Kevin Lamarque, , Keith Lerner, Jonathan Duensing Organizations: Department of, U.S . Treasury, REUTERS, U.S, Treasuries, U.S ., Bank of America, Treasury, Bloomberg U.S, ICE, Advisory, Fed, UBS, Bank of, Futures, Amundi, Reuters Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, Washington , U.S, U.S . Republic, Treasuries
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